A recent poll suggests that Ted Cruz’s advantage over his Democratic Party‘ opponent Colin Allred in the Texas Senate race has diminished, indicating a shift in voters’ perception of the senator.
Senator Cruz is currently leading Allred by a slim margin of 47 percent to 46 percent among Texas registered voters, according to a recent survey by Public Policy Polling/Clean and Prosperous America. This represents a slight decrease in support for Cruz compared to the previous August poll, where he held a 2-point lead over Allred (47 percent to 45). The survey was conducted on September 25-26 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
According to the survey, Cruz’s favorability rating has taken a hit, with a negative net rating. In August, he had a minus 6 rating, which has now dropped to minus 8 points. This means that 41 percent of respondents view him favorably, while 49 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
Allred’s net favorable rating has dropped from plus 7 to plus 5, with 40 percent of respondents having a favorable view of him and 35 percent holding an unfavorable view, according to recent data.
Democrats are hopeful that they can turn the historically red state of Texas into a battleground in the upcoming November elections, both in terms of the presidential race and statewide races.
If Allred defeats Cruz in November, he will become the first Democrat senator in Texas since 1988. A victory for Allred in Texas would also play a crucial role in the Democratic Party’s efforts to maintain control of the upper chamber.
The Public Policy Polling survey was conducted by Clean and Prosperous America, an environmentalist advocacy group that supports Democratic candidates.
According to a recent Morning Consult poll, Allred and Cruz are currently neck-and-neck in the race for the Texas Senate in 2024, with 45 percent of likely voters backing Allred and 44 percent supporting Cruz. However, despite this result, forecasters and experts remain confident that Cruz will ultimately emerge as the victor in the fiercely contested Texas Senate race.
In my opinion, unless there are any unexpected events, it seems highly improbable that Allred will defeat Cruz in this election. Nonetheless, I anticipate a closely contested race.
According to election forecaster Race to the White House, Cruz currently has a 69 percent chance of winning the upcoming November race, while Allred is estimated to have a 31 percent chance.
The Public Policy Polling/Clean and Prosperous America survey also asked respondents to rank Senator Rick Scott and his Democratic opponent, former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, in order of preference for the Florida Senate race.
The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
Greg Rock, executive director of Clean and Prosperous America, stated that the results of these two surveys highlight the intense competition in the Senate races in both Florida and Texas. This indicates that the final month of the election will be crucial for the candidates.
“According to Rock, the upcoming weeks are crucial as millions of voters in both states have yet to decide on their voting preferences. Their choices will have a significant impact on the outcome of the U.S. Senate control in January.”